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Published: 2024-02-06 20:27:29 +0000 UTC; Views: 587; Favourites: 1; Downloads: 0
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Based on the average past 3 polls featuring Trump vs Biden from FiveThirtyEight, as of the Nevada Primary...Trump is up 5 points nationally.
Trump is up 8 in Georgia, 7 in Nevada, 5 in Arizona, Michigan, 3 in Wisconsin. Pennsylvania is about dead even, slightly favorable to Biden. Minnesota is within 3. Virginia, Colorado and New Mexico are under 10. Illinois is within 10 but only due to the most recent poll in October, probable outlier.
Trump is down 9 in New York and even that is without Robert F Kennedy Jr. being polled.
Whatever polling miss is going on here - if that indeed is what's happening - will surely make election night a night to remember.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pā¦