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Published: 2014-09-12 17:11:58 +0000 UTC; Views: 7056; Favourites: 71; Downloads: 0
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Description
I've been interested in futurology for a while now and have written an extensive timeline/fictional history for my sci-fi setting and have decided to share the first century or so with you all on DA in the form of a series of maps with timelines, descriptions etc. This timeline is a much updated version of the one I wrote almost four years ago which some of my earlier maps depict. I have done a fair amount of research, hoping for a realistic-ish (or at least believable timeline) although I have made exceptions where realism is concerned for I also wish it to be interesting. I have tried to avoid millenialism (the title of this, the first installment of a future history, is intended to be ironic). I also feel I need to stress that the events are fictional, and are not intended to cause offense. Ok, intro over, enjoy and feel free to ask questions/correct me - information is valuable.The year is 2020 and the world is benefitting from six years of uninterrupted, if unsteady, economic growth and much more rapid technological progress. Autonomous vehicles are increasingly common in the developed world, and the internet is essentially ubiquitous. Surveillance is equally widespread. 3D printers are common consumer products, a must-have for any respectable middle-class household. Oil is scarcer by the year.
The United States still retains its position of undisputed world power – whilst China’s economy has drawn level, it still lags behind America considerably in most areas, particularly its ability to project power globally. The American alliance system is global, including India, Japan and Turkey in particular.
To challenge America’s supremacy China has attempted to build a sphere of influence in the Far East. It cooperates increasingly with Russia which after years of international sanctions, aggressive foreign policy moves and decreasing political freedom is not far from being considered a rogue state - an ever more powerful rogue state with a colossal defence budget. The emerging Sino-Russian Axis is an alliance of convenience, but one that dominates continental Asia.
The European Union has managed to brush economic and structural problems under the carpet in the past few years and has since grown to include Iceland and the remainder of the Balkan Peninsula. Recent reforms have seen it split into a number of more localised groups with varying commitments.
The Gulf Cooperation Council, now a fully-fledged economic and customs union dominated by Saudi Arabia, is a fair-weather friend of the Americans. Attempts to diversify the economy away from increasingly scarce oil revenues are beginning to look desperate.
Brazil has emerged as a major regional power and its distance from the tensions between the two alliance systems enables it to retain a position of neutrality, trading with either bloc. Efforts to merge the Andean Community and MERCOSUR have stalled in recent years – turns out the other South American countries aren’t so keen to be part of an economic sphere inevitably dominated by Brazil.
The West’s and in particular America’s reluctance to play policeman in the past decade has resulted in widespread chaos in Africa and the Middle East although this is beginning to change as tensions once again build between America and its old foe, seeing defence budgets grow, most notably in Eastern Europe, Russia and Japan.
2015 – 10nm chips enter mass production. 3D printers are a mainstream consumer product. The Eurasian Union is formed, consisting of Belarus, Kazakhstan and Russia. Belarus and Russia integrate further still.
2016 – India successfully completes its first manned space mission. The completion of dozens of major infrastructure projects sees the creation of the world’s largest city with a population of approximately 50 million, centred on the Pearl River Delta, China.
2017 – ePaper is widespread. The world’s first kilometre high skyscraper is completed in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. The European Union is expanded.
2018 – Polio is eradicated and a universal flu vaccine has been made available for public use. The internet is ubiquitous in the developed world – physical hard drives are increasingly rare – most data is saved to the Cloud.
2019 – The world’s top computers break the exaflop barrier. Yemen becomes the first state to collapse as a result of resource scarcity/overpopulation.
2020 – Internet use reaches five billion. UHDTV is widespread. A missile shield has been completed in Eastern Europe. Oil prices peak at a high of $200 per barrel before declining, but not by much – this was later to be used to mark the beginning of the global oil crisis.
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Comments: 26
PolandStronk2 [2022-01-02 04:37:40 +0000 UTC]
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Abashi76 [2018-02-02 02:07:34 +0000 UTC]
What are those tiny islands between Japan and Hawaii? Lemuria by any chance? If so, then there must be more in the Atlantic for Atlantis and two others if not more.
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Kajm [2015-09-24 21:31:38 +0000 UTC]
Interesting. What are your oil predictions / prices based upon? Peak oil keeps receding into the distance.
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Guyverman [2015-07-11 10:21:44 +0000 UTC]
Would you care as to elaborate on the details of new indipendent states being formed a little more? For example, the independent Catalan and divided Libya as shown.
*edit*
Never mind, read the points of interest.
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RogueLeader1000 [2015-05-06 21:14:47 +0000 UTC]
Well, this is definitely a massively more believable timeline. Very good.
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AngryBirds514 [2015-04-03 12:11:23 +0000 UTC]
I don't believe that there will be an end of the world.
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Surenity [2014-09-17 06:45:55 +0000 UTC]
I can see the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict still not being solved by 2020, seems legit for the way things have been going since 1994. x.x I'm hoping current conflicts between the West, Russia and the Islamic State don't eventually spiral into World War III though. The world's a scary place right now.
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SamSquared In reply to Surenity [2014-09-19 01:54:39 +0000 UTC]
The Nagorno-Karabakh conflict is a classic example of a post-Cold War 'frozen conflict' and as such is likely to last, especially in this scenario of increasing tensions between Russia and the West. The world has always been a scary place, it's just that the ubiquitous access to media makes it that much more apparent. I'm skeptical WWIII could arise from the current state of affairs - Putin's current strategy in Ukraine is opportunistic and is the outcome of attempting to secure Russia's western border rather than some kind of conquest (not that I agree with it - self-determination and sovereignty are far more important but autocrats will be autocrats). As for the Islamic State - they are a terrorist organisation, little more, and would be crushed the instant they attempted to directly confront any neighbouring state such as Saudi Arabia, Turkey or Iran. Their days are numbered.
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Surenity In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-20 05:49:44 +0000 UTC]
I read somewhere that Russia wants to keep the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict going because a victory for either side would mean it would lose much of its influence in the region. We'll see what happens, I don't think it can go on forever.
I'm just seeing similarities in the build-ups to the previous World Wars, plus the Cold War, and current events. Islamic terrorism is kind of a wild card though.
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SamSquared In reply to Surenity [2014-09-23 11:27:36 +0000 UTC]
That would make a lot of sense but I agree nothing can continue indefinitely.
Yeah there are definite similarities to World War II, in particular the West's hesitation to intervene (which is also a cause of the Islamic State situation) but the situation currently is closer to one that might result in a renewed Cold War - which is essentially what I have happen. Terrorism is a wildcard making it hard to predict, but the effects are rarely lasting so I generally avoid making predictions like 'Iraq and Syria fall to the all-conquering Islamic State'. In the long term I see Islamism as being symptomatic of a last gasp of fundamentalist religion - the violence could go on for decades yet, but it will never change the world in the way it would like to.
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Surenity In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-24 04:05:37 +0000 UTC]
I can see a new Cold War developing, but just like the Cold War I'm hoping it doesn't boil over into a "hot" war. Maybe if we're lucky whoever succeeds Putin in Russia will be a bit more benevolent.
I'm pretty sure the end result of the Islamic State fiasco will be an independent Kurdistan, which has been a long time coming. But things do seem to change overnight in the Middle East.
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SamSquared In reply to Surenity [2014-09-24 19:05:34 +0000 UTC]
Yes, fingers crossed for both.
I would cautiously say that an independent Kurdistan would be a good thing - they are one of the largest ethnic groups in the world without a country of their own and have been persistently persecuted in neighbouring states. Turkey is increasingly coming round to the idea of an independent Kurdistan in Syria and Iraq as a result of the actions of the Islamic State so maybe this will be the event that triggers its creation, who knows - like you say the Middle East is pretty volatile.
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Surenity In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-26 04:36:54 +0000 UTC]
I have my suspicions that Turkey might be helping the Islamic State under the table in an effort to thwart the Kurds, though it's trying not to make it obvious to it's allies (the sudden release of Turkish hostages for no apparent reason, Turkey's unwillingness to participate in the fight against IS), but maybe I'm just being a conspiracy theorist, I dunno. Then again if there were a Kurdistan in Iraq and Syria that could be an excuse for Turkey to try to force its Kurds to move there.
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SamSquared In reply to Surenity [2014-09-27 17:33:51 +0000 UTC]
I think that might be reading too much into it, though Turkey has been understandably the most reluctant to join in the campaign against them. Then again what do I know? That said there has been suggestion recently that that may be about to change. I imagine the Turks seeing it that way potentially if Erdogan's government continues to go the way it's going, and as a useful buffer between them and unstable Syria and Iraq.
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SamSquared In reply to Beastboss [2014-09-14 00:40:40 +0000 UTC]
Whoops, it shouldn't be, I'll need to change that. Thanks!
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Beastboss In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-14 00:43:10 +0000 UTC]
Ok, I was a bit worried
This seems like an interesting series
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SamSquared In reply to Beastboss [2014-09-14 13:24:00 +0000 UTC]
Thanks, I'm gonna try and post a new map each week.
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Rajalyoko23 [2014-09-13 08:56:37 +0000 UTC]
Cool. Seems to be inspired by RVBOmally I presume?
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SamSquared In reply to Rajalyoko23 [2014-09-13 09:55:17 +0000 UTC]
Yeah I love the tone of his descriptions - matter of fact but also sardonic, so I thought I'd throw a bit of dark humour in. That said this timeline isn't intended to be anywhere near as dystopian as some of his. Sometimes the world changes for the better, sometimes for the worse. I think YNot1989 also deserves a mention here, for inspiring me to attempt to do a comprehensive map series of my future history.
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Rajalyoko23 In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-13 10:28:56 +0000 UTC]
Ynot's maps are also cool too.
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SamSquared In reply to Rajalyoko23 [2014-09-13 11:06:49 +0000 UTC]
Agreed...I could spend hours staring at one of his maps...if only I had more digital skills
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ZachValkyrie [2014-09-12 18:15:04 +0000 UTC]
Meanwhile, the Australians are having a bloody good laugh at the rest of you lot!
(I'm not Australian, I just wish I was.)
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SamSquared In reply to ZachValkyrie [2014-09-13 10:00:28 +0000 UTC]
For now they are, for now...although their crop yields haven't been so good the last couple of years since 2018. I'm sure the present Australian government would tell you it was the immigrants fault, after all its not as though climate change is the result of human activity
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ZachValkyrie In reply to SamSquared [2014-09-13 18:49:21 +0000 UTC]
Bah! All that will change just as soon as I overthrow their foolish civilian government and take over Australia! I have big plans for the land down under!
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